← Aria's Cardshop MRC Regionals (ONLINE)
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Aria's Cardshop MRC Regionals (ONLINE)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.8% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -2.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 53.2% | +2.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.8% | -4.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.1% | -0.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Beast | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Surveil the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |